One of the best FA Cup days with plenty of scope for a juicy upset. More scope than probability to be fair, but there you go. It’s the day that pits the likes of Dunn the butcher, Lowe the bank manager, Laurie the undertaker and Lavender the village idiot against high-flyers like Salah, Haaland and Saka in the annual, improbable hope that one of the minnows may take down a sleeping giant. And it’s always the minnows, isn’t it – why never stickleback or goldfish? In the 21st century, surely that ranks as scandalous discrimination. Just add a snowy pitch and an orange ball to complete the picture. But it’s fun to think about what might happen and if by chance a minnow takes an early bite out of a giant’s arse and still holds a lead by the time they start to be felled by the cruel inevitability of cramp, the excitement among viewers and listeners around the country will be guided to a vaguely vinegary anticipation of imminent climax only ever seen on this day: the tension, the drama, the unexpected turns. It's a day unlike any other in the English football calendar, where underdogs can rise and giants fall, where magic can truly happen and dreams, however unlikely, can come true. Or just crash and burn.
Look out for:
Forest vs Luton. How things change. If just one or two results last season had taken a different turn, it might have been Luton pushing for the Premier League title and Forest battling to stay out of League 1.
Liverpool vs Accrington. Could be a record scoreline.
Man C vs Salford. A local derby. Could their recent upturn make City complacent?
Orient vs Derby. The Rams have plenty to think about in terms of league position. Can the Os take advantage?
Tamworth vs Spurs. Oh, wouldn’t it be fun if… Yes, it would. It really, really would.
Ipswich vs Bristol Rovers. Not the kind of game anyone in the Tractor Boys’ position would want just now.
Southampton vs Swansea. As above. Pain, pain and more pain in the offing. Life can be so unfair.
Millwall vs Dagenham & Redbridge.
BIRMINGHAM CITY vs LINCOLN CITY (1200)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 30%
BRISTOL CITY vs WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS (1200)
Likely outcome: Away win
Upset potential: 60%
MIDDLESBORO vs BLACKBURN ROVERS (1200)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 50%
LIVERPOOL vs ACCRINGTON STANLEY (1215)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 0.1%
Upset desirability: 100%
LEICESTER CITY vs QPR (1400)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 60%
BOURNEMOUTH vs WEST BROMWICH ALBION (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 30%
BRENTFORD vs PLYMOUTH ARGYLE (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 20%
Upset desirability: 50%
CHELSEA vs MORECAMBE (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 1%
Upset desirability: 100%
EXETER CITY vs OXFORD UNITED (1500)
Likely outcome: Away win
Upset potential: 30%
NORWICH CITY vs BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION (1500)
Likely outcome: Away win
Upset potential: 10%
Upset desirability: 50%
NOTTINGHAM FOREST vs LUTON TOWN (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 5%
Upset desirability: 75%
READING vs BURNLEY (1500)
Likely outcome: Away win
Upset potential: 25%
SUNDERLAND vs STOKE CITY (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 5%
LEEDS UNITED vs HARROGATE TOWN (1745)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 5%
Upset desirability: 25%
MANCHESTER CITY vs SALFORD CITY (1745)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 1%
Upset desirability: 95%
COVENTRY CITY vs SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY (1800)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 5%
LEYTON ORIENT vs DERBY COUNTY (1800)
Likely outcome: Away win
Upset potential: 25%
Upset desirability: 75%
SUNDAY
HULL CITY vs DONCASTER ROVERS (1200)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 50%
Upset desirability: 25%
TAMWORTH vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR (1230)
Likely outcome: Away win
Upset potential: 0.1%
Upset desirability: 100%
ARSENAL vs MANCHESTER UNITED (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: n/a
CRYSTAL PALACE vs STOCKPORT COUNTY (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 5%
Upset desirability: 90%
IPSWICH TOWN vs BRISTOL ROVERS (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 25%
Upset desirability: 50%
NEWCASTLE UNITED vs BROMLEY (1500)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 1%
Upset desirability: 25%
SOUTHAMPTON vs SWANSEA CITY (1630)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 75%
Upset desirability: 50%
MONDAY
MILLWALL vs DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE (1930)
Likely outcome: Home win
Upset potential: 5%
Upset desirability: 100%