The Official Politics Thread (enter at your own risk)
Posted: 09 Dec 2024, 09:19
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goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 16:03Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:44Pension funds are diversified, they hold bonds, bonds are going up due to Interest rates dropping. Stocks will rebound just a matter of time.
The path we are on with our debt is not sustainable, we have huge budget deficits and are paying a Trillion a year plus in interest on that debt. Won’t be long before we are paying Trillion interest in 11 months, then 10 months, then 9 months etc. Tax Cuts, higher pay Tarrif money, lower interest rates and more Jobs, will go a long way to increasing our GDP and Remember these are reciprocal Tarrifs, Remove your Tarrifs and trade barriers and ours go away. OR is it only America that’s not allowed to have Tarrifs?
Israel, Argentina, Vietnam and Canada have already caved. Just a matter of time before everyone else falls in line.Pensions are diversified but that doesn’t change he the fact that way more than 8% of people are exposed to this.
goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 16:03Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:44Pension funds are diversified, they hold bonds, bonds are going up due to Interest rates dropping. Stocks will rebound just a matter of time.
The path we are on with our debt is not sustainable, we have huge budget deficits and are paying a Trillion a year plus in interest on that debt. Won’t be long before we are paying Trillion interest in 11 months, then 10 months, then 9 months etc. Tax Cuts, higher pay Tarrif money, lower interest rates and more Jobs, will go a long way to increasing our GDP and Remember these are reciprocal Tarrifs, Remove your Tarrifs and trade barriers and ours go away. OR is it only America that’s not allowed to have Tarrifs?
Israel, Argentina, Vietnam and Canada have already caved. Just a matter of time before everyone else falls in line.Pensions are diversified but that doesn’t change he the fact that way more than 8% of people are exposed to this.
Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:44goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:12Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:07The USA has the world’s largest economy by far, China loses just a small part of the US consumer biz it will hurt their GDP. They are predominantly an export based economy still. The trade deficit is $300 billion in Chinas favor, the USA is already losing money and jobs to China. China has more to lose.
On top of that China has millions living in Extreme poverty with 80% plus of their population considered poor. By their own admission they need to maintain a 7% GDP growth rate to prevent civil unrest. A Tariff war has their estimate of future GDP growth at 5%. The Chinese gov’t do not want civil unrest with that many upset, starving people. They can try and find alternate trade partners but they won’t be able to make up the shortfall.
As for the USA, The stock market will rebound once it adjusts to the new economic boom all this Tariff money will bring in and new high paying Jobs. The unions seem to like it and why wouldn’t they.
90% of stocks are held by approx 8% of the population, The big winners here are the middle class who will get their jobs back, Cheaper energy costs, lower taxes and increased income will offset any threat of inflation.
You would think wealth distribution of taxing the rich to help the poor would be considered a liberal policy.
But then again you have Liberals keying other liberals Environmentally sound Green electric cars because the corrupt Dem politicians have brain washed them into thinking that Cannibalism is the right thing to do. And cutting and exposing wasteful and fraudulent Gov’ts spending is the problem. LOL
They’ve already got you believing that it’s okay to sacrifice your kids in the name of inclusion. So god only knows what they will brainwash you with next.
When is the next WEF meeting? Can’t wait to see what your puppet masters come up with next.
In the meantime pay up your NATO bill is due and Russia smells blood.“90% of stocks are held by approx 8% of the population”
only if you view pension funds as an individual entity.Pension funds are diversified, they hold bonds, bonds are going up due to Interest rates dropping. Stocks will rebound just a matter of time.
The path we are on with our debt is not sustainable, we have huge budget deficits and are paying a Trillion a year plus in interest on that debt. Won’t be long before we are paying Trillion interest in 11 months, then 10 months, then 9 months etc. Tax Cuts, higher pay Tarrif money, lower interest rates and more Jobs, will go a long way to increasing our GDP and Remember these are reciprocal Tarrifs, Remove your Tarrifs and trade barriers and ours go away. OR is it only America that’s not allowed to have Tarrifs?
Israel, Argentina, Vietnam and Canada have already caved. Just a matter of time before everyone else falls in line.
goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:12Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:07goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 07:39Tell me why China can’t beat the USA in a trade war? The balance of trade is heavily in their favour, belt & road initiative means their trading partners are diversified across the globe, and most importantly their political set up gives them far greater tolerance to suffer the economic consequences.
Predicted inflation is not going to bring interest rates down no matter how much Trump stamps his feet. Which country do you think can suffer the pain for longer?The USA has the world’s largest economy by far, China loses just a small part of the US consumer biz it will hurt their GDP. They are predominantly an export based economy still. The trade deficit is $300 billion in Chinas favor, the USA is already losing money and jobs to China. China has more to lose.
On top of that China has millions living in Extreme poverty with 80% plus of their population considered poor. By their own admission they need to maintain a 7% GDP growth rate to prevent civil unrest. A Tariff war has their estimate of future GDP growth at 5%. The Chinese gov’t do not want civil unrest with that many upset, starving people. They can try and find alternate trade partners but they won’t be able to make up the shortfall.
As for the USA, The stock market will rebound once it adjusts to the new economic boom all this Tariff money will bring in and new high paying Jobs. The unions seem to like it and why wouldn’t they.
90% of stocks are held by approx 8% of the population, The big winners here are the middle class who will get their jobs back, Cheaper energy costs, lower taxes and increased income will offset any threat of inflation.
You would think wealth distribution of taxing the rich to help the poor would be considered a liberal policy.
But then again you have Liberals keying other liberals Environmentally sound Green electric cars because the corrupt Dem politicians have brain washed them into thinking that Cannibalism is the right thing to do. And cutting and exposing wasteful and fraudulent Gov’ts spending is the problem. LOL
They’ve already got you believing that it’s okay to sacrifice your kids in the name of inclusion. So god only knows what they will brainwash you with next.
When is the next WEF meeting? Can’t wait to see what your puppet masters come up with next.
In the meantime pay up your NATO bill is due and Russia smells blood.“90% of stocks are held by approx 8% of the population”
only if you view pension funds as an individual entity.
Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 14:07goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 07:39Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 02:14I remember Janet Yellen telling us all that Biden’s inflation was transitory, Then having to walk it back admitting she was wrong.
All Powell has said that the odds have increased.
Todays jobs numbers came in higher than expected.
Oil prices down, Interest rates down, so is Gold. Gold/ silver ratio is at an extreme, is gold overbought? Or does Silver have some catching up to do?
Only people throwing their toys in the air are the talking head traders who are losing their shirts, probably have long positions on margin and are getting hammered with margin calls and the propogandists that want you all to believe the sky is falling. LOL
Let’s see what happens.
Might take a minute but all those countries with Tariffs and trade barriers will cave. You’ll see. Even China, they know they can’t beat the USA in a trade war.
Just give it time!
And then you Drama queens can disappear again.
Tell me why China can’t beat the USA in a trade war? The balance of trade is heavily in their favour, belt & road initiative means their trading partners are diversified across the globe, and most importantly their political set up gives them far greater tolerance to suffer the economic consequences.
Predicted inflation is not going to bring interest rates down no matter how much Trump stamps his feet. Which country do you think can suffer the pain for longer?The USA has the world’s largest economy by far, China loses just a small part of the US consumer biz it will hurt their GDP. They are predominantly an export based economy still. The trade deficit is $300 billion in Chinas favor, the USA is already losing money and jobs to China. China has more to lose.
On top of that China has millions living in Extreme poverty with 80% plus of their population considered poor. By their own admission they need to maintain a 7% GDP growth rate to prevent civil unrest. A Tariff war has their estimate of future GDP growth at 5%. The Chinese gov’t do not want civil unrest with that many upset, starving people. They can try and find alternate trade partners but they won’t be able to make up the shortfall.
As for the USA, The stock market will rebound once it adjusts to the new economic boom all this Tariff money will bring in and new high paying Jobs. The unions seem to like it and why wouldn’t they.
90% of stocks are held by approx 8% of the population, The big winners here are the middle class who will get their jobs back, Cheaper energy costs, lower taxes and increased income will offset any threat of inflation.
You would think wealth distribution of taxing the rich to help the poor would be considered a liberal policy.
But then again you have Liberals keying other liberals Environmentally sound Green electric cars because the corrupt Dem politicians have brain washed them into thinking that Cannibalism is the right thing to do. And cutting and exposing wasteful and fraudulent Gov’ts spending is the problem. LOL
They’ve already got you believing that it’s okay to sacrifice your kids in the name of inclusion. So god only knows what they will brainwash you with next.
When is the next WEF meeting? Can’t wait to see what your puppet masters come up with next.
In the meantime pay up your NATO bill is due and Russia smells blood.
goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 07:39Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 02:14goose wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 17:24 Another one of those leftist propagandists, this time Jerome Powell (chair of the Fed)
WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday in remarks that pointed to the potentially difficult set of decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank.
"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation," undermining both of the Fed's mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell said in prepared remarks to a business journalists' conference in Arlington, Virginia.I remember Janet Yellen telling us all that Biden’s inflation was transitory, Then having to walk it back admitting she was wrong.
All Powell has said that the odds have increased.
Todays jobs numbers came in higher than expected.
Oil prices down, Interest rates down, so is Gold. Gold/ silver ratio is at an extreme, is gold overbought? Or does Silver have some catching up to do?
Only people throwing their toys in the air are the talking head traders who are losing their shirts, probably have long positions on margin and are getting hammered with margin calls and the propogandists that want you all to believe the sky is falling. LOL
Let’s see what happens.
Might take a minute but all those countries with Tariffs and trade barriers will cave. You’ll see. Even China, they know they can’t beat the USA in a trade war.
Just give it time!
And then you Drama queens can disappear again.
Tell me why China can’t beat the USA in a trade war? The balance of trade is heavily in their favour, belt & road initiative means their trading partners are diversified across the globe, and most importantly their political set up gives them far greater tolerance to suffer the economic consequences.
Predicted inflation is not going to bring interest rates down no matter how much Trump stamps his feet. Which country do you think can suffer the pain for longer?
Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 02:14goose wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 17:24 Another one of those leftist propagandists, this time Jerome Powell (chair of the Fed)
WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday in remarks that pointed to the potentially difficult set of decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank.
"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation," undermining both of the Fed's mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell said in prepared remarks to a business journalists' conference in Arlington, Virginia.I remember Janet Yellen telling us all that Biden’s inflation was transitory, Then having to walk it back admitting she was wrong.
All Powell has said that the odds have increased.
Todays jobs numbers came in higher than expected.
Oil prices down, Interest rates down, so is Gold. Gold/ silver ratio is at an extreme, is gold overbought? Or does Silver have some catching up to do?
Only people throwing their toys in the air are the talking head traders who are losing their shirts, probably have long positions on margin and are getting hammered with margin calls and the propogandists that want you all to believe the sky is falling. LOL
Let’s see what happens.
Might take a minute but all those countries with Tariffs and trade barriers will cave. You’ll see. Even China, they know they can’t beat the USA in a trade war.
Just give it time!
And then you Drama queens can disappear again.
goose wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 07:39Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 02:14goose wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 17:24 Another one of those leftist propagandists, this time Jerome Powell (chair of the Fed)
WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday in remarks that pointed to the potentially difficult set of decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank.
"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation," undermining both of the Fed's mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell said in prepared remarks to a business journalists' conference in Arlington, Virginia.I remember Janet Yellen telling us all that Biden’s inflation was transitory, Then having to walk it back admitting she was wrong.
All Powell has said that the odds have increased.
Todays jobs numbers came in higher than expected.
Oil prices down, Interest rates down, so is Gold. Gold/ silver ratio is at an extreme, is gold overbought? Or does Silver have some catching up to do?
Only people throwing their toys in the air are the talking head traders who are losing their shirts, probably have long positions on margin and are getting hammered with margin calls and the propogandists that want you all to believe the sky is falling. LOL
Let’s see what happens.
Might take a minute but all those countries with Tariffs and trade barriers will cave. You’ll see. Even China, they know they can’t beat the USA in a trade war.
Just give it time!
And then you Drama queens can disappear again.
Tell me why China can’t beat the USA in a trade war? The balance of trade is heavily in their favour, belt & road initiative means their trading partners are diversified across the globe, and most importantly their political set up gives them far greater tolerance to suffer the economic consequences.
Predicted inflation is not going to bring interest rates down no matter how much Trump stamps his feet. Which country do you think can suffer the pain for longer?
Nutsin wrote: ↑05 Apr 2025, 02:14goose wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 17:24 Another one of those leftist propagandists, this time Jerome Powell (chair of the Fed)
WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday in remarks that pointed to the potentially difficult set of decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank.
"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation," undermining both of the Fed's mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell said in prepared remarks to a business journalists' conference in Arlington, Virginia.I remember Janet Yellen telling us all that Biden’s inflation was transitory, Then having to walk it back admitting she was wrong.
All Powell has said that the odds have increased.
Todays jobs numbers came in higher than expected.
Oil prices down, Interest rates down, so is Gold. Gold/ silver ratio is at an extreme, is gold overbought? Or does Silver have some catching up to do?
Only people throwing their toys in the air are the talking head traders who are losing their shirts, probably have long positions on margin and are getting hammered with margin calls and the propogandists that want you all to believe the sky is falling. LOL
Let’s see what happens.
Might take a minute but all those countries with Tariffs and trade barriers will cave. You’ll see. Even China, they know they can’t beat the USA in a trade war.
Just give it time!
And then you Drama queens can disappear again.
goose wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 17:24 Another one of those leftist propagandists, this time Jerome Powell (chair of the Fed)
WASHINGTON, April 4 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and the economic fallout including higher inflation and slower growth likely will be as well, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday in remarks that pointed to the potentially difficult set of decisions ahead for the U.S. central bank.
"We face a highly uncertain outlook with elevated risks of both higher unemployment and higher inflation," undermining both of the Fed's mandates of 2% inflation and maximum employment, Powell said in prepared remarks to a business journalists' conference in Arlington, Virginia.
nychammer wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 13:18“Not gonna happen”
“Nobody knows with any certainty”
lol
just the $2trn wiped off yesterday (and counting)The US Economy is built on a house of cards with a foundation of 30Trillion + National Debt. Prior Administrations have ignored this and spent funny money we don't actually have on programs that we don't need or to prop up a considerable number of people on benefits or just to provide an illusion that all is well. Prior administrations have let the rest of the world use the US as a Financial Doormat by taxing US Imports and just assuming we'll support wars without end.
I don't therefore get the objection - who knows if that will eventually happen - but we have no choice but to hope that the outcome is good.
nychammer wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 13:18goose wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 06:54Nutsin wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025, 22:22Yeah , not gonna happen is my opinion. I’m not a one trick pony. I listen to El Erian but have enough sense to realize he is not always right. He has an opinion and many others share a different opinion that’s what makes a market. Nobody knows with any certainty, let’s see what happens! Now I’m done arguing with you, go argue with someone else.“Not gonna happen”
“Nobody knows with any certainty”
lol
just the $2trn wiped off yesterday (and counting)The US Economy is built on a house of cards with a foundation of 30Trillion + National Debt. Prior Administrations have ignored this and spent funny money we don't actually have on programs that we don't need or to prop up a considerable number of people on benefits or just to provide an illusion that all is well. Prior administrations have let the rest of the world use the US as a Financial Doormat by taxing US Imports and just assuming we'll support wars without end.
I don't therefore get the objection when steps are taken to partially redress the balance. Don't forget the Tariffs are not even a full reciprocity! Fully agree we need to live within our means and reduce the size of government. As for the markets, they would have corrected eventually for one reason or another and they will come back. I hope that along with that comes the longer term prosperity that is being promised - who knows if that will eventually happen - but we have no choice but to hope that the outcome is good.
goose wrote: ↑04 Apr 2025, 06:54Nutsin wrote: ↑03 Apr 2025, 22:22Yeah , not gonna happen is my opinion. I’m not a one trick pony. I listen to El Erian but have enough sense to realize he is not always right. He has an opinion and many others share a different opinion that’s what makes a market. Nobody knows with any certainty, let’s see what happens! Now I’m done arguing with you, go argue with someone else.“Not gonna happen”
“Nobody knows with any certainty”
lol
just the $2trn wiped off yesterday (and counting)